Sun Oct-18 16:25:53
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #1160 Wed Jul-29 16:31:46
SpaceX Extends Sharp Selloff of Over $1.2tn As Investors Brace For Earnings And Lock-Up Expiry
SpaceX shares extended a steep decline, wiping out over $1.2 trillion in market value amid investor concerns over AI capital expenditures and valuations, negatively impacting sentiment for Elon Musk's Tesla and the broader tech sector.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary TSLA | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -1.54% | -0.07% | 293.83 | 308.84 | |
| SMCI | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -6.12% | -1.54% | 25.22 | 28.35 | |
| AMD | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -5.29% | -0.56% | 420.63 | 458.46 | |
| MU | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -4.75% | -0.75% | 708.59 | 835.51 | |
| TSM | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -3.93% | -0.77% | 368.30 | 390.77 | |
| NVDA | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -2.35% | -0.05% | 188.89 | 197.56 | |
| AVGO | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -2.24% | -1.15% | 364.85 | 384.61 | |
| ASML | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -2.23% | -0.45% | 1531.35 | 1613.00 | |
| QCOM | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -2.03% | -0.32% | 143.70 | 164.29 | |
| AMZN | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -1.23% | +0.08% | 224.70 | 232.52 | |
| PLTR | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.72% | -0.23% | 120.59 | 126.93 | |
| META | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.33% | +0.44% | 521.74 | 599.09 | |
| MSFT | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.31% | +0.09% | 389.74 | 425.60 | |
| peer GOOGL | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.05% | -0.10% | 329.81 | 342.09 | |
| AAPL | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.03% | -0.12% | 337.73 | 344.32 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | TSLA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -1.54% · Δ 30m -0.07% · px 302.72 (prev 307.44) → close -1.62% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | verdict FRESH, direction bearish -> short GOOGL (other: SpaceX shares extended a steep decline, wiping out over $1.2 trillion in market value amid investor concerns over AI capital expenditures and valuations, negatively impacting sentiment for Elon Musk's Tesla and the broader tech sector.) [skipped: duplicate theme — already holding S1 short GOOGL exiting 2026-07-29] → close +0.66% |
| S4 | TSLA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -1.54% · Δ 30m -0.07% · px 302.72 (prev 307.44) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 70.