Sun Oct-18 15:06:50
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #5298 Wed Sep-23 16:20:21
Michael Burry sends stark warning on AI hyperscalers
Michael Burry warns that major AI hyperscalers including Amazon, Meta, Alphabet, and Microsoft are hiding over $3 trillion in off-balance-sheet liabilities related to AI infrastructure commitments.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary AMZN | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -1.74% | +0.56% | 236.79 | 256.08 | |
| PLTR | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +3.18% | +0.24% | 184.39 | 193.06 | |
| GOOGL | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -2.74% | -0.07% | 330.68 | 352.68 | |
| META | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +2.28% | +0.85% | 732.50 | 759.51 | |
| AVGO | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -2.21% | +0.26% | 354.13 | 362.66 | |
| peer NVDA | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -1.49% | -0.21% | 224.14 | 229.10 | |
| MU | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -1.42% | +0.41% | 1065.69 | 1100.38 | |
| AMD | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -1.39% | +0.62% | 608.91 | 622.74 | |
| QCOM | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -1.10% | -0.01% | 193.74 | 199.52 | |
| ASML | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -0.97% | +1.05% | 1705.58 | 1750.00 | |
| TSM | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -0.44% | +0.94% | 443.04 | 450.69 | |
| MSFT | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.13% | -0.28% | 466.25 | 507.84 | |
| SMCI | ▼ bearish | FRESH | 0.00% | +0.17% | 41.15 | 42.49 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | AMZN | ○ skip | — | primary short move already absorbed: AMZN -1.74% since prev close → close -0.55% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | inferred short: materiality 65 below floor 75 → close -0.26% |
| S4 | AMZN | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: short AMZN at close, exit next close (analyst: Michael Burry warns that major AI hyperscalers including Amazon, Meta, Alphabet, and Microsoft are hiding over $3 trillion in off-balance-sheet liabilities related to AI infrastructure commitments.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 65 short lost to mat 65 long (decision 21224) for S4 AMZN exiting 2026-09-24] |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 70.