Sun Oct-18 16:04:21
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #4926 Thu Sep-17 18:30:51
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China Builds Legal Machinery To Flip Civilian Economy Into War Mode
China has enacted a revised national defense mobilization law enabling the redirection of civilian economic capacity and sensitive technology toward defense needs, raising geopolitical risks for US semiconductor and tech companies with exposure to the region.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary TSM | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +2.52% | +0.11% | 422.80 | 430.26 | |
| SMCI | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +10.27% | -0.55% | 37.56 | 40.99 | |
| AMD | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +6.84% | -0.30% | 523.85 | 550.77 | |
| MU | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +5.28% | 0.00% | 943.00 | 984.34 | |
| QCOM | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +3.12% | -0.39% | 187.52 | 191.90 | |
| peer AVGO | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +2.73% | -0.02% | 344.24 | 350.49 | |
| NVDA | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +2.34% | +0.10% | 216.50 | 219.81 | |
| AMZN | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +2.14% | -0.09% | 249.02 | 252.33 | |
| ASML | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +1.20% | +0.31% | 1616.26 | 1648.25 | |
| MSFT | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.97% | -0.18% | 485.25 | 498.48 | |
| AAPL | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.92% | -0.18% | 330.50 | 337.79 | |
| META | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.70% | +0.07% | 658.37 | 682.70 | |
| GOOGL | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.60% | -0.19% | 344.54 | 348.89 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +2.52% · Δ 30m +0.11% · px 428.51 (prev 417.98) → close +0.17% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | AVGO | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +2.73% · Δ 30m -0.02% · px 348.80 (prev 339.51) → close -0.31% |
| S4 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +2.52% · Δ 30m +0.11% · px 428.51 (prev 417.98) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 70.