Mon Aug-31 20:02:47
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #2838 Tue Aug-18 18:20:32
Optics Stocks Drop on Anthropic News, WSJ Report: Lumentum Down 10%, Corning Down 8%, AXT Down 12%
Optics and AI hardware stocks declined after Anthropic reported $65 billion in annualized revenue, missing higher market expectations and triggering risk-off sentiment across the sector.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary GOOGL | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.20% | -0.10% | 325.20 | 344.55 | |
| MU | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -7.49% | -0.71% | 929.02 | 977.50 | |
| AMD | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -5.32% | -0.03% | 475.34 | 492.00 | |
| ASML | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -4.84% | -0.23% | 1776.46 | 1819.80 | |
| TSM | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -4.21% | -0.13% | 410.91 | 421.24 | |
| META | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -3.30% | -0.25% | 543.70 | 565.22 | |
| AVGO | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -2.91% | -0.09% | 377.11 | 387.46 | |
| peer NVDA | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -2.19% | -0.11% | 218.93 | 221.15 | |
| QCOM | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -1.95% | -0.21% | 156.90 | 161.58 | |
| SMCI | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -1.37% | +1.45% | 36.23 | 37.93 | |
| MSFT | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.32% | 0.00% | 479.83 | 496.14 | |
| AMZN | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.20% | +0.04% | 258.17 | 262.08 | |
| PLTR | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.10% | -0.14% | 170.71 | 174.85 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | verdict FRESH, direction bearish -> short GOOGL (other: Optics and AI hardware stocks declined after Anthropic reported $65 billion in annualized revenue, missing higher market expectations and triggering risk-off sentiment across the sector.) [skipped: signal conflict — wanted short, conflict-hold — mat 65 ties incumbent S1 long GOOGL, incumbent held (strictly higher materiality required to flip)] → close +0.31% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.19% · Δ 30m -0.11% · px 220.09 (prev 225.01) → close -0.27% |
| S4 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: short GOOGL at close, exit next close (other: Optics and AI hardware stocks declined after Anthropic reported $65 billion in annualized revenue, missing higher market expectations and triggering risk-off sentiment across the sector.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 65 short lost to mat 85 long (decision 11252) for S4 GOOGL exiting 2026-08-19] |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.