Mon Aug-31 19:05:04
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #2387 Tue Aug-11 19:50:30
Amazon raises AI capital spending to about $220 billion for 2026 as data-center race intensifies
Amazon raised its 2026 AI capital expenditure forecast to approximately $220 billion, citing intense demand for computing power and rising memory-chip costs.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary AMZN | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -1.95% | +0.12% | 271.53 | 278.66 | |
| GOOGL | · unclear | PRICED | -3.51% | -0.52% | 343.71 | 357.80 | |
| ASML | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +3.09% | +0.12% | 1778.70 | 1814.89 | |
| AVGO | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -1.92% | -0.48% | 413.57 | 425.61 | |
| META | · unclear | REPRICING | +1.39% | -0.16% | 572.64 | 611.70 | |
| TSM | ▲ bullish | FRESH | +0.60% | -0.19% | 419.56 | 424.54 | |
| peer MSFT | · unclear | FRESH | -0.53% | +0.13% | 500.50 | 506.32 | |
| MU | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.33% | +0.21% | 847.78 | 876.82 | |
| NVDA | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.15% | +0.15% | 216.49 | 221.79 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | AMZN | ○ skip | — | primary long contradicts tape: AMZN -1.95% since prev close → close -0.08% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for MSFT → close +0.11% |
| S4 | AMZN | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: long AMZN at close, exit next close (guidance: Amazon raised its 2026 AI capital expenditure forecast to approximately $220 billion, citing intense demand for computing power and rising memory-chip costs.) [skipped at close: stale at close-fill — wanted long, verdict now PRICED (-2.03% since close, 65m after decision), order not placed] |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.