Mon Aug-31 20:12:41
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #1770 Tue Aug-04 14:30:59
If you think AI capex is insane this year, wait until 2027 as BofA sees a nearly 50% rise
Bank of America forecasts hyperscaler capital expenditures will rise nearly 50% to $1.2 trillion in 2027, driven by a $2.3 trillion backlog of customer cloud commitments.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary MSFT | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -1.29% | +1.06% | 475.61 | 498.91 | |
| PLTR | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +14.30% | -1.37% | 143.62 | 164.00 | |
| MU | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +4.28% | -0.22% | 861.76 | 900.43 | |
| AMD | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +4.12% | +0.02% | 469.87 | 529.54 | |
| QCOM | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +3.36% | +0.63% | 154.48 | 163.44 | |
| ASML | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +3.31% | +0.21% | 1681.28 | 1717.09 | |
| AVGO | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +2.71% | +0.33% | 398.53 | 421.83 | |
| AMZN | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -2.58% | -0.10% | 276.40 | 280.96 | |
| peer NVDA | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +2.52% | +0.93% | 208.89 | 216.89 | |
| TSM | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | +1.58% | -1.12% | 412.52 | 419.81 | |
| META | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -1.50% | +0.39% | 575.50 | 592.28 | |
| GOOGL | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -1.42% | +0.08% | 366.39 | 380.31 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | primary long contradicts tape: MSFT -1.29% since prev close → close +2.33% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +2.52% · Δ 30m +0.93% · px 211.85 (prev 206.64) → close +0.18% |
| S4 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: long MSFT at close, exit next close (analyst: Bank of America forecasts hyperscaler capital expenditures will rise nearly 50% to $1.2 trillion in 2027, driven by a $2.3 trillion backlog of customer cloud commitments.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 65 long lost to mat 95 long (decision 7116) for S4 MSFT exiting 2026-08-05] |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.