Mon Aug-31 19:06:56
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #1693 Mon Aug-03 18:40:27
Careful MSFT, AMZN, ORCL Bulls: Trouble at OpenAI, Anthropic Could Trigger 'Sustained' AI Selloff, 'Big S
Investor Steve Eisman warned that potential instability at OpenAI and Anthropic could trigger a sustained selloff in AI stocks due to their significant contribution to hyperscaler backlogs.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary MSFT | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +5.24% | +0.23% | 472.09 | 491.29 | |
| META | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +6.20% | -0.26% | 562.45 | 597.04 | |
| peer GOOGL | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +5.23% | -0.16% | 361.61 | 375.97 | |
| AMZN | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +4.61% | -0.15% | 275.80 | 286.78 | |
| NVDA | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +3.53% | +0.28% | 197.69 | 208.66 | |
| PLTR | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +2.20% | +0.38% | 124.61 | 144.72 | |
| AMD | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +1.89% | +0.66% | 457.76 | 495.13 | |
| QCOM | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +1.40% | +0.32% | 143.27 | 152.20 | |
| ASML | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.93% | +0.19% | 1592.04 | 1654.25 | |
| SMCI | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.50% | +0.07% | 27.75 | 28.90 | |
| MU | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.26% | +0.45% | 777.38 | 840.85 | |
| TSM | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +0.25% | +0.63% | 390.66 | 409.80 | |
| AVGO | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.08% | +0.09% | 376.04 | 392.45 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +5.24% · Δ 30m +0.23% · px 489.09 (prev 464.72) → close -0.14% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +5.23% · Δ 30m -0.16% · px 374.75 (prev 356.13) → close -0.14% |
| S4 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +5.24% · Δ 30m +0.23% · px 489.09 (prev 464.72) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.