Mon Aug-31 20:04:57
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #1472 Thu Jul-30 21:01:58
Microsoft set for record one-day market cap gain after upbeat Azure forecast By Reuters
Microsoft shares surged over 16% toward a record market cap gain after reporting strong earnings and forecasting Azure cloud growth above Wall Street expectations.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary MSFT | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +15.47% | -1.27% | 425.60 | 458.17 | |
| MU | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +18.21% | -0.07% | 747.00 | 910.99 | |
| AMD | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +13.03% | -0.44% | 440.89 | 499.88 | |
| SMCI | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +7.92% | -0.43% | 26.27 | 28.40 | |
| META | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -7.84% | +0.97% | 526.00 | 544.23 | |
| TSM | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +7.84% | +0.02% | 381.99 | 412.77 | |
| ASML | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +6.56% | +0.03% | 1599.38 | 1684.28 | |
| AVGO | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +4.70% | +0.13% | 374.22 | 391.00 | |
| AMZN | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +3.66% | -1.91% | 232.55 | 258.50 | |
| peer NVDA | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +2.63% | +0.48% | 192.16 | 197.05 | |
| QCOM | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -2.58% | +0.60% | 146.00 | 153.87 | |
| GOOGL | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.90% | -0.20% | 331.43 | 337.96 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +15.47% · Δ 30m -1.27% · px 450.95 (prev 390.54) → close +0.18% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +2.63% · Δ 30m +0.48% · px 195.01 (prev 190.01) → close -0.12% |
| S4 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +15.47% · Δ 30m -1.27% · px 450.95 (prev 390.54) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.