Mon Aug-31 19:05:50
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #1291 Thu Jul-30 14:23:36
ASML's EUV Machines Are Becoming More Valuable Than Ever. Here's Why.
ASML is leveraging its monopoly on EUV lithography systems to raise prices for low-NA machines while TSMC delays adoption of newer high-NA systems until 2029.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary ASML | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +2.91% | +0.64% | 1599.38 | 1684.28 | |
| QCOM | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -7.78% | -0.85% | 146.00 | 153.87 | |
| MU | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -4.74% | -0.69% | 747.00 | 910.99 | |
| peer NVDA | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -1.31% | +0.17% | 192.16 | 197.05 | |
| counterparty TSM | · unclear | REPRICING | -0.49% | +0.62% | 381.99 | 412.77 | |
| AVGO | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.11% | +0.46% | 374.22 | 391.00 | |
| AMD | ▲ bullish | FRESH | +0.08% | +0.18% | 440.89 | 499.88 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | ASML | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +2.91% · Δ 30m +0.64% · px 1629.06 (prev 1582.95) → close +1.38% |
| S2 | TSM | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for TSM → close +3.28% |
| S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -1.31% · Δ 30m +0.17% · px 194.43 (prev 197.01) → close +0.17% |
| S4 | ASML | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +2.91% · Δ 30m +0.64% · px 1629.06 (prev 1582.95) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.