Mon Aug-31 19:01:44
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🚨 Alert #985 Tue Jul-28 14:33:12
Micron, Nvidia, AMD on Watch as Asia's Chip Selloff Sends a Warning - Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD)
Asian semiconductor stocks, led by Samsung and SK Hynix, plunged due to retail leverage unwinding and competitive pressures from China's CXMT, triggering a premarket selloff in US chip stocks including Micron, Nvidia, and AMD.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary MU | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -6.54% | +0.28% | 774.65 | 848.99 | |
| AMD | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -5.71% | -1.33% | 444.02 | 475.77 | |
| ASML | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -4.52% | +0.21% | 1555.72 | 1598.06 | |
| SMCI | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -3.92% | +0.35% | 27.27 | 28.69 | |
| TSM | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -3.08% | +0.87% | 381.24 | 395.36 | |
| peer QCOM | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -2.84% | -0.48% | 162.26 | 167.70 | |
| AVGO | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -2.26% | -0.21% | 360.53 | 385.19 | |
| NVDA | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.74% | -0.28% | 193.21 | 198.53 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | MU | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -6.54% · Δ 30m +0.28% · px 841.35 (prev 900.20) → close -2.40% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | QCOM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.84% · Δ 30m -0.48% · px 165.21 (prev 170.04) → close -1.08% |
| S4 | MU | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -6.54% · Δ 30m +0.28% · px 841.35 (prev 900.20) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.