Sun Oct-18 15:11:43
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #6920 Thu Oct-08 16:40:11
US suspends Microsoft from key green card programme
US suspends Microsoft from key green card programme
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary MSFT | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.21% | -0.04% | 519.01 | 533.35 | |
| PLTR | · unclear | PRICED | +2.41% | -0.54% | 195.88 | 204.10 | |
| AVGO | · unclear | REPRICING | -1.44% | +0.13% | 357.67 | 372.94 | |
| peer NVDA | · unclear | FRESH | -0.76% | -0.22% | 230.01 | 236.94 | |
| AMZN | · unclear | REPRICING | -0.72% | -0.54% | 254.01 | 259.69 | |
| GOOGL | · unclear | REPRICING | -0.39% | -0.98% | 346.58 | 354.49 | |
| AAPL | · unclear | FRESH | +0.31% | +0.06% | 336.36 | 341.45 | |
| META | · unclear | FRESH | -0.10% | -0.37% | 712.90 | 727.00 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | verdict FRESH, direction bearish -> short MSFT (regulatory: US suspends Microsoft from key green card programme) [skipped: duplicate theme — already holding S1 short MSFT exiting 2026-10-08] → close -1.53% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for NVDA → close -2.18% |
| S4 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: short MSFT at close, exit next close (regulatory: US suspends Microsoft from key green card programme) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 70 short lost to mat 79 short (decision 28116) for S4 MSFT exiting 2026-10-09] |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 70.