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🚨 Alert #440 Wed Jul-22 14:32:09

Bitcoin rose to $66,000. The New Zealand dollar continues to strengthen
investmacro.com · Wed Jul-22 14:15:56 published · Wed Jul-22 14:32:09 alerted · alerted 16m after publish · read at investmacro.com ↗ · other · mat 65

Semiconductor stocks including Micron, AMD, and Nvidia rallied significantly, driving broader market gains ahead of Alphabet's earnings report.

🎯 Tickers & verdicts

tickerdirectionverdictsince close30mday loday hiintraday px
primary MU bullishPRICED-2.66%+1.62%924.99983.29
AMD bullishPRICED-2.64%-0.22%527.05560.00
NVDA bullishFRESH-0.57%+0.47%204.56214.40
peer GOOGL· unclearFRESH+0.41%+0.21%325.51349.70

🧭 Decisions

strategytickeractionsiderationale
S1MU○ skipverdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.66% · Δ 30m +1.62% · px 944.98 (prev 970.82) → close +1.76%
S2-○ skipno counterparty in universe
S3GOOGL○ skipdirection unclear for GOOGL → close -1.59%
S4MU○ skipverdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.66% · Δ 30m +1.62% · px 944.98 (prev 970.82)

📈 Trades

no trades spawned

📖 Glossary

  • S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
  • S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
  • S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
  • S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
  • Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
  • UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
  • PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
  • REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
  • FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
  • materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.

← #439 · #441 → · 📅 2026-07-22 day report