Sun Oct-18 15:03:26
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #4075 Fri Sep-04 15:00:51
Goldman Sachs Says the AI Trade Is Barely Started. The Stocks That Got You Here Will Not Take You There - AOL
Goldman Sachs analysts argue that AI capital expenditure is in early stages but market leadership is rotating away from previous winners like Nvidia toward broader infrastructure beneficiaries.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary NVDA | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +2.51% | +1.32% | 229.50 | 234.52 | |
| ASML | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +4.50% | +2.45% | 1673.16 | 1720.30 | |
| PLTR | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -3.24% | -2.34% | 173.90 | 181.79 | |
| SMCI | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +3.21% | +2.00% | 38.05 | 40.87 | |
| AMD | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +3.09% | +2.19% | 460.18 | 477.75 | |
| TSM | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +2.10% | +1.26% | 419.91 | 429.11 | |
| MSFT | · unclear | REPRICING | -1.30% | -1.27% | 499.01 | 513.79 | |
| counterparty AMZN | · unclear | REPRICING | -0.52% | -0.56% | 255.47 | 260.87 | |
| META | · unclear | REPRICING | -0.30% | -0.78% | 606.96 | 617.19 | |
| GOOGL | · unclear | FRESH | -0.25% | -0.24% | 337.23 | 343.78 | |
| peer AVGO | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.02% | -0.26% | 353.82 | 361.62 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +2.51% · Δ 30m +1.32% · px 234.19 (prev 228.45) → close -1.48% |
| S2 | AMZN | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for AMZN → close +0.46% |
| S3 | AVGO | ○ skip | — | inferred long: materiality 65 below floor 75 → close +0.27% |
| S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +2.51% · Δ 30m +1.32% · px 234.19 (prev 228.45) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 70.