Sun Oct-18 15:03:15
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #3987 Thu Sep-03 17:21:40
148 gigawatts announced, 12 running: AI financing outran the grid | FXStreet
A report highlights a significant disparity between announced AI data center capacity and operational reality, noting that only 8% of announced capacity is running due to grid and supply constraints despite massive capital expenditure by hyperscalers.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary MSFT | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +3.36% | +0.14% | 482.28 | 515.00 | |
| PLTR | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +8.51% | +0.63% | 170.39 | 185.21 | |
| AVGO | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -3.88% | +0.52% | 340.52 | 358.96 | |
| META | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +3.83% | -0.20% | 596.59 | 618.72 | |
| ASML | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -2.60% | -0.49% | 1626.20 | 1659.83 | |
| AMZN | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +1.51% | -0.03% | 255.30 | 259.49 | |
| peer NVDA | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +1.50% | +0.18% | 223.46 | 230.14 | |
| GOOGL | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +1.39% | -0.23% | 337.90 | 344.36 | |
| SMCI | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +1.36% | +1.01% | 36.14 | 38.19 | |
| AMD | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +0.54% | +0.79% | 444.32 | 459.53 | |
| TSM | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.53% | +0.49% | 408.61 | 417.19 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +3.36% · Δ 30m +0.14% · px 513.52 (prev 496.82) → close -0.57% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | inferred short contradicts tape: NVDA +1.50% since prev close → close +0.35% |
| S4 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +3.36% · Δ 30m +0.14% · px 513.52 (prev 496.82) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 70.