kingfisher — alert #3738

🚨 Alert #3738 Tue Sep-01 13:41:07

Nvidia Just Proved It Doesn't Need China Anymore

fool.com · Tue Sep-01 13:26:00 published · Tue Sep-01 13:41:07 alerted · alerted 15m after publish · read at www.fool.com ↗ · guidance · mat 85

Nvidia provided preliminary fiscal 2028 revenue guidance projecting 70% year-over-year growth, significantly exceeding Wall Street's 44% consensus estimate due to supply constraints.

🎯 Tickers & verdicts

ticker	direction	verdict	since close	30m	day lo	day hi
primary NVDA	▲ bullish	REPRICING	-1.51%	-0.15%	215.73	220.15
MU	▲ bullish	PRICED	-2.40%	-0.29%	924.44	966.36
peer AMD	· unclear	PRICED	-2.02%	-0.03%	453.00	463.28
AVGO	· unclear	REPRICING	-1.50%	-0.14%	362.80	371.68
TSM	▲ bullish	FRESH	-0.09%	+0.07%	412.33	417.45

🧭 Decisions

strategy	ticker	action	side	rationale
S1	NVDA	○ skip	—	primary long contradicts tape: NVDA -1.51% since prev close → close 0.00%
S2	-	○ skip	—	no counterparty in universe
S3	AMD	○ skip	—	direction unclear for AMD → close -0.36%
S4	NVDA	○ skip	—	overnight drift: long NVDA at close, exit next close (guidance: Nvidia provided preliminary fiscal 2028 revenue guidance projecting 70% year-over-year growth, significantly exceeding Wall Street's 44% consensus estimate due to supply constraints.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 85 long lost to mat 90 long (decision 14904) for S4 NVDA exiting 2026-09-02]

📈 Trades

no trades spawned

📖 Glossary

S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.