Mon Aug-31 20:13:43
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #3599 Fri Aug-28 19:20:27
Wall Street Wanted 45% Growth From Nvidia. It Guided to 70%, and the Real Number Is Higher.
A KeyBanc analyst highlighted that Nvidia's guided 70% revenue growth is constrained by supply limits despite 100% demand, reinforcing the bullish outlook for the company and its supply chain partners.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary NVDA | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -4.18% | -0.50% | 216.97 | 228.68 | |
| SMCI | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -3.45% | -0.63% | 36.92 | 38.72 | |
| ASML | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -1.87% | +0.11% | 1693.78 | 1737.17 | |
| TSM | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -1.65% | -0.28% | 417.52 | 431.74 | |
| peer AMD | · unclear | REPRICING | -1.26% | -0.55% | 465.60 | 478.33 | |
| AVGO | · unclear | FRESH | -0.76% | +0.11% | 365.84 | 376.20 | |
| MU | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.48% | +0.12% | 914.03 | 946.50 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -4.18% · Δ 30m -0.50% · px 218.45 (prev 227.98) → close -0.20% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | AMD | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for AMD → close -0.76% |
| S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -4.18% · Δ 30m -0.50% · px 218.45 (prev 227.98) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.