Mon Aug-31 19:03:31
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #3532 Fri Aug-28 13:02:41
Needham reports strongest global semiconductor sales since 1984
Needham reports that global semiconductor sales reached record levels in 2025 and 2026, with US companies regaining majority market share driven by AI demand.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary NVDA | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.57% | -0.24% | 216.97 | 228.68 | |
| MU | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -1.92% | -0.18% | 914.03 | 946.50 | |
| SMCI | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -1.59% | -0.29% | 36.92 | 38.72 | |
| peer AMD | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.93% | -0.11% | 465.60 | 478.33 | |
| PLTR | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.66% | -0.22% | 184.55 | 188.22 | |
| ASML | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.42% | -0.23% | 1693.78 | 1737.17 | |
| TSM | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.25% | -0.10% | 417.52 | 431.74 | |
| AVGO | ▲ bullish | FRESH | +0.16% | -0.10% | 365.84 | 376.20 | |
| QCOM | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.11% | -0.38% | 162.24 | 165.40 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict FRESH, direction bullish -> long NVDA (analyst: Needham reports that global semiconductor sales reached record levels in 2025 and 2026, with US companies regaining majority market share driven by AI demand.) [skipped: duplicate theme — already queued S1 long NVDA exiting 2026-08-28] → close -3.82% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | AMD | ○ skip | — | inferred long: materiality 65 below floor 75 → close -1.09% |
| S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: long NVDA at close, exit next close (analyst: Needham reports that global semiconductor sales reached record levels in 2025 and 2026, with US companies regaining majority market share driven by AI demand.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 65 long lost to mat 85 long (decision 14236) for S4 NVDA exiting 2026-08-31] |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.