Mon Aug-31 19:05:04
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #2998 Fri Aug-21 13:02:31
AI delivers the largest capex-driven boost to GDP in history, per Bloomberg
Bloomberg reports that AI capital expenditure from major tech firms is driving the largest GDP boost in history, with 2026 spending projected at $725 billion.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary GOOGL | ▲ bullish | FRESH | +0.70% | +0.10% | 341.47 | 346.07 | |
| TSM | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | +1.40% | +0.01% | 417.05 | 423.98 | |
| AVGO | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | +1.34% | +0.14% | 365.20 | 373.98 | |
| SMCI | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | +1.21% | +0.01% | 36.63 | 37.47 | |
| AMD | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | +1.08% | -0.17% | 463.05 | 475.79 | |
| ASML | ▲ bullish | FRESH | +0.98% | -0.13% | 1742.38 | 1771.53 | |
| META | ▲ bullish | FRESH | +0.70% | -0.03% | 533.74 | 553.75 | |
| AMZN | ▲ bullish | FRESH | +0.69% | -0.04% | 257.39 | 262.04 | |
| peer NVDA | ▲ bullish | FRESH | +0.57% | -0.06% | 214.72 | 218.48 | |
| PLTR | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | +0.10% | -0.65% | 173.00 | 181.55 | |
| MSFT | ▲ bullish | FRESH | +0.06% | -0.21% | 468.39 | 485.87 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | GOOGL | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict FRESH, direction bullish -> long GOOGL (other: Bloomberg reports that AI capital expenditure from major tech firms is driving the largest GDP boost in history, with 2026 spending projected at $725 billion.) |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | inferred long: materiality 65 below floor 75 → close -1.50% |
| S4 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: long GOOGL at close, exit next close (other: Bloomberg reports that AI capital expenditure from major tech firms is driving the largest GDP boost in history, with 2026 spending projected at $725 billion.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 65 long lost to mat 85 long (decision 12224) for S4 GOOGL exiting 2026-08-24] |
📈 Trades
| strategy | ticker | side | qty | entry | exit | P&L $ | status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | GOOGL | ▲ long | 2 | failed |
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.