Mon Aug-31 19:05:00
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #2834 Tue Aug-18 18:00:43
WSJ Report Sends Memory Stocks Down. SanDisk Down 9%, Micron Down 7%, Western Digital Down 5%
Memory stocks including Micron declined following a Wall Street Journal report revealing $3 trillion in off-balance-sheet AI commitments among major tech firms, sparking concerns about spending sustainability.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary MU | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -7.18% | +0.12% | 929.02 | 977.50 | |
| AMD | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -5.26% | +0.33% | 475.34 | 492.00 | |
| TSM | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -4.11% | 0.00% | 410.91 | 421.24 | |
| META | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -3.21% | -0.18% | 543.70 | 565.22 | |
| AVGO | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -2.90% | +0.09% | 377.11 | 387.46 | |
| SMCI | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -2.35% | +2.35% | 36.23 | 37.93 | |
| peer NVDA | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -2.14% | +0.29% | 218.93 | 221.15 | |
| AAPL | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +1.73% | +0.05% | 306.31 | 311.20 | |
| QCOM | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -1.73% | +0.58% | 156.90 | 161.58 | |
| MSFT | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.40% | +0.06% | 479.83 | 496.14 | |
| AMZN | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.20% | +0.31% | 258.17 | 262.08 | |
| GOOGL | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.08% | -0.04% | 325.20 | 344.55 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | MU | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -7.18% · Δ 30m +0.12% · px 939.10 (prev 1011.75) → close -0.12% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.14% · Δ 30m +0.29% · px 220.19 (prev 225.01) → close -0.32% |
| S4 | MU | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -7.18% · Δ 30m +0.12% · px 939.10 (prev 1011.75) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.