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🚨 Alert #2343 Tue Aug-11 14:50:19

The Crown Keeps Switching Hands: Apple Inc. (AAPL) vs NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA)
finance.yahoo.com · Tue Aug-11 14:32:34 published · Tue Aug-11 14:50:19 alerted · alerted 17m after publish · read at finance.yahoo.com ↗ · earnings · mat 85

Apple reported strong fiscal third-quarter earnings with record iPhone sales but its stock fell due to soft revenue guidance and margin compression attributed to memory cost increases and chip shortages.

🎯 Tickers & verdicts

tickerdirectionverdictsince close30mday loday hiintraday px
primary AAPL bearishREPRICING-0.76%-0.63%303.10309.45
GOOGL· unclearPRICED-2.07%-1.64%343.71357.80
AMZN· unclearREPRICING-1.53%-1.24%271.53278.66
NVDA· unclearREPRICING+1.17%-0.48%216.49221.79
peer MSFT· unclearREPRICING-1.03%-0.64%500.50506.32
TSM· unclearREPRICING+0.41%-0.73%419.56424.54
MU bullishREPRICING-0.34%-1.77%847.78876.82
META· unclearFRESH+0.04%-0.27%572.64611.70

🧭 Decisions

strategytickeractionsiderationale
S1AAPL○ skipverdict REPRICING, direction bearish -> short AAPL (earnings: Apple reported strong fiscal third-quarter earnings with record iPhone sales but its stock fell due to soft revenue guidance and margin compression attributed to memory cost increases and chip shortages.) [skipped: duplicate theme — already holding S1 short AAPL exiting 2026-08-11] → close -0.37%
S2-○ skipno counterparty in universe
S3MSFT○ skipdirection unclear for MSFT → close +0.62%
S4AAPL● enter▼ shortovernight drift: short AAPL at close, exit next close (earnings: Apple reported strong fiscal third-quarter earnings with record iPhone sales but its stock fell due to soft revenue guidance and margin compression attributed to memory cost increases and chip shortages.)

📈 Trades

strategytickersideqtyentryexitP&L $status
S4AAPL▼ short3304.87301.51+10.08closed

Retrospectives

tickermfemaereflection
AAPL S4+1.40%-0.12%

Signal: right. The short predicted further downside and AAPL fell another ~1.1% after entry. Timing: partially late — the stock had already dropped ~1.1% from prior close by fill (304.87 vs 308.26), so part of the earnings-driven move was gone before entry, though ample downside remained. Exit: good capture — the +10.08 P&L (~+1.10%) took most of the +1.40% peak unrealized gain with negligible adverse excursion (-0.12%). Dominant factor: a correct directional signal that the drift persisted overnight; the trade worked essentially as designed.

📖 Glossary

  • S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
  • S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
  • S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
  • S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
  • Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
  • UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
  • PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
  • REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
  • FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
  • materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.

← #2342 · #2344 → · 📅 2026-08-11 day report