🚨 Alert #2327 Tue Aug-11 13:10:58
Google is complying with a court ruling by hosting rival Android app stores like Aptoide within the Play Store, while Apple remains unaffected as the monopoly ruling does not apply to iOS.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | GOOGL | ● enter | ▼ short | verdict FRESH, direction bearish -> short GOOGL (regulatory: Google is complying with a court ruling by hosting rival Android app stores like Aptoide within the Play Store, while Apple remains unaffected as the monopoly ruling does not apply to iOS.) |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | inferred long: materiality 65 below floor 75 → close -1.41% |
| S4 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: short GOOGL at close, exit next close (regulatory: Google is complying with a court ruling by hosting rival Android app stores like Aptoide within the Play Store, while Apple remains unaffected as the monopoly ruling does not apply to iOS.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 65 short lost to mat 65 long (decision 9340) for S4 GOOGL exiting 2026-08-12] |
📈 Trades
| strategy | ticker | side | qty | entry | exit | P&L $ | status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | GOOGL | ▼ short | 2 | 354.63 | 343.67 | +21.92 | closed |
Retrospectives
| ticker | mfe | mae | reflection |
|---|---|---|---|
| GOOGL S1 | +3.12% | +0.12% | Signal: right. The bearish call worked — GOOGL fell ~3% after entry, and the trade never went meaningfully against the short (worst unrealized only +0.12%). Timing: mostly fine at decision time (stock was flat, -0.12% since prev close, so the move hadn't happened), though the fill at 354.63 was already ~0.8% below prev close, suggesting some slippage between decision and entry; the data here doesn't show why. Exit: excellent — the +21.92 P&L (~+3.09% on the short) captured nearly all of the +3.12% best unrealized. Dominant factor: a correct directional signal with a near-optimal exit; this trade executed about as well as the available move allowed. |
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.