🚨 Alert #2328 Tue Aug-11 13:11:16
Meta plans to begin production of new custom AI inference chips in September to reduce infrastructure costs and dependence on general-purpose processors.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary META | ▲ bullish | FRESH | +0.34% | +0.16% | 572.64 | 611.70 | |
| NVDA | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +1.30% | +0.27% | 216.49 | 221.79 | |
| AMD | · unclear | REPRICING | +1.01% | +0.11% | 463.93 | 475.78 | |
| MSFT | · unclear | FRESH | -0.24% | +0.06% | 500.50 | 506.32 | |
| peer GOOGL | · unclear | FRESH | -0.12% | +0.04% | 343.71 | 357.80 | |
| AMZN | · unclear | FRESH | +0.02% | +0.16% | 271.53 | 278.66 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | META | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict FRESH, direction bullish -> long META (product: Meta plans to begin production of new custom AI inference chips in September to reduce infrastructure costs and dependence on general-purpose processors.) |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for GOOGL → close -3.74% |
| S4 | META | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: long META at close, exit next close (product: Meta plans to begin production of new custom AI inference chips in September to reduce infrastructure costs and dependence on general-purpose processors.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 65 long lost to mat 65 short (decision 9504) for S4 META exiting 2026-08-12] |
📈 Trades
| strategy | ticker | side | qty | entry | exit | P&L $ | status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | META | ▲ long | 1 | 595.98 | 599.14 | +3.16 | closed |
Retrospectives
| ticker | mfe | mae | reflection |
|---|---|---|---|
| META S1 | +2.68% | -0.32% | Signal: right. Bullish call played out — the trade never went more than -0.32% against entry and ran to +2.68% unrealized. Timing: fine. At entry the stock was only +0.34% off prior close, so the move hadn't already been priced in; entry caught the run rather than chasing it. Exit: the dominant factor, and it's weak. The realized +3.16 (+0.53%) captured only about a fifth of the +2.68% (~$16) peak that was available while open — the trade gave back most of what the signal earned. The data doesn't show why the exit fired there (rule, time stop, etc.), so cause of the giveback can't be determined from what's here. |
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.