Mon Aug-31 19:02:44
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #200 Mon Jul-20 13:00:19
AI boom could make ASML Europe's first trillion-dollar company - Cryptopolitan
ASML raised its 2026 revenue guidance to €43-45 billion and announced a 30% expansion in manufacturing capacity to meet AI-driven demand for EUV lithography systems.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary ASML | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -0.32% | +0.58% | 1730.44 | 1791.62 | |
| MU | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +4.87% | +1.08% | 859.68 | 900.06 | |
| QCOM | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +2.63% | +0.08% | 170.05 | 176.17 | |
| AMD | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +2.61% | +0.25% | 502.09 | 525.31 | |
| peer NVDA | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.82% | +0.30% | 202.33 | 207.26 | |
| AVGO | ▲ bullish | FRESH | +0.60% | +0.37% | 374.54 | 383.41 | |
| counterparty TSM | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.24% | +0.38% | 390.66 | 409.60 | |
| SMCI | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | +0.09% | +0.75% | 23.83 | 24.95 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | ASML | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict REPRICING, direction bullish -> buy ASML (guidance: ASML raised its 2026 revenue guidance to €43-45 billion and announced a 30% expansion in manufacturing capacity to meet AI-driven demand for EUV lithography systems.) |
| S2 | TSM | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict FRESH, direction bullish -> buy TSM (guidance: ASML raised its 2026 revenue guidance to €43-45 billion and announced a 30% expansion in manufacturing capacity to meet AI-driven demand for EUV lithography systems.) |
| S3 | NVDA | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict FRESH, direction bullish -> buy NVDA (guidance: ASML raised its 2026 revenue guidance to €43-45 billion and announced a 30% expansion in manufacturing capacity to meet AI-driven demand for EUV lithography systems.) |
| S4 | ASML | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy ASML at close, exit next close (guidance: ASML raised its 2026 revenue guidance to €43-45 billion and announced a 30% expansion in manufacturing capacity to meet AI-driven demand for EUV lithography systems.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 buy ASML exiting 2026-07-21] |
📈 Trades
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.