Mon Aug-31 20:13:45
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #1588 Fri Jul-31 19:51:07
Chinese AI shakes up global markets
Growing competition from cost-efficient Chinese AI models like Kimi K3 is rattling global markets and raising concerns about the return on investment for US tech giants' AI infrastructure spending.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary NVDA | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +2.11% | +0.14% | 195.33 | 201.78 | |
| AMZN | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +15.28% | -0.03% | 259.40 | 272.46 | |
| GOOGL | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +6.54% | -0.16% | 337.16 | 357.61 | |
| peer MSFT | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +2.42% | -0.04% | 447.95 | 465.86 | |
| META | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +2.31% | +0.11% | 540.82 | 557.98 | |
| SMCI | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +1.98% | +0.07% | 27.36 | 28.78 | |
| QCOM | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -1.57% | +0.64% | 146.24 | 155.18 | |
| TSM | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.75% | +0.08% | 399.15 | 421.17 | |
| AMD | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.66% | +0.29% | 472.12 | 514.65 | |
| AVGO | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.35% | +0.20% | 380.52 | 397.37 | |
| PLTR | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.28% | +0.37% | 119.91 | 123.66 | |
| ASML | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.06% | -0.03% | 1622.50 | 1691.03 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +2.11% · Δ 30m +0.14% · px 199.16 (prev 195.04) → close +1.30% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +2.42% · Δ 30m -0.04% · px 462.02 (prev 451.10) → close +0.80% |
| S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +2.11% · Δ 30m +0.14% · px 199.16 (prev 195.04) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.