Mon Aug-31 19:09:01
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #1583 Fri Jul-31 19:10:55
1 AI Stock I'd Buy Before It Hits Another All-Time High
Taiwan Semiconductor reported a 77% jump in Q2 net income and debuted its 2nm node, but shares remain below all-time highs due to margin compression concerns from the 2nm ramp.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary TSM | ▲ bullish | FRESH | +0.76% | -0.40% | 399.15 | 421.17 | |
| MU | · unclear | PRICED | -3.91% | -0.96% | 812.48 | 926.39 | |
| peer NVDA | · unclear | PRICED | +2.33% | +0.16% | 195.33 | 201.78 | |
| SMCI | · unclear | PRICED | +2.31% | -0.14% | 27.36 | 28.78 | |
| AMD | · unclear | FRESH | +0.64% | -0.47% | 472.12 | 514.65 | |
| ASML | · unclear | FRESH | +0.27% | -0.18% | 1622.50 | 1691.03 | |
| AVGO | · unclear | FRESH | +0.08% | -0.31% | 380.52 | 397.37 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict FRESH, direction bullish -> long TSM (earnings: Taiwan Semiconductor reported a 77% jump in Q2 net income and debuted its 2nm node, but shares remain below all-time highs due to margin compression concerns from the 2nm ramp.) [skipped: duplicate theme — already holding S1 long TSM exiting 2026-07-31] → close -0.20% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for NVDA → close +1.09% |
| S4 | TSM | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: long TSM at close, exit next close (earnings: Taiwan Semiconductor reported a 77% jump in Q2 net income and debuted its 2nm node, but shares remain below all-time highs due to margin compression concerns from the 2nm ramp.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 65 long lost to mat 75 short (decision 6168) for S4 TSM exiting 2026-08-03] |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.