Mon Aug-31 20:13:15
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #1550 Fri Jul-31 16:34:06
Apple set to lose almost $500 billion in value as shares hit by AI boom
Apple shares fell nearly 10% as the company warned of significant component shortages driven by AI data center demand, potentially erasing $500 billion in market value.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary AAPL | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -9.48% | -0.25% | 300.32 | 309.72 | |
| AMZN | · unclear | PRICED | +13.47% | -1.12% | 259.40 | 272.46 | |
| MU | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -5.26% | -2.54% | 812.48 | 926.39 | |
| GOOGL | · unclear | PRICED | +4.60% | -0.90% | 337.16 | 357.61 | |
| MSFT | · unclear | REPRICING | +1.48% | +1.11% | 447.95 | 465.86 | |
| TSM | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | +0.50% | -0.80% | 399.15 | 421.17 | |
| peer NVDA | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | +0.34% | -1.08% | 195.33 | 201.78 | |
| META | · unclear | REPRICING | +0.33% | -1.98% | 540.82 | 557.98 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -9.48% · Δ 30m -0.25% · px 301.83 (prev 333.43) → close +2.61% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict REPRICING, direction bullish -> long NVDA (other: Apple shares fell nearly 10% as the company warned of significant component shortages driven by AI data center demand, potentially erasing $500 billion in market value.) [skipped: duplicate theme — already holding S1 long NVDA exiting 2026-07-31] → close +3.10% |
| S4 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -9.48% · Δ 30m -0.25% · px 301.83 (prev 333.43) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.