Mon Aug-31 19:07:57
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #1468 Thu Jul-30 20:42:15
ASML Stock Rebounds 6.8% as China Threat Looks Less Immediate
ASML shares rebounded 6.8% as investor concerns eased regarding the immediate competitive threat from China's new domestic deep-ultraviolet lithography systems.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary ASML | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +6.73% | +0.06% | 1599.38 | 1684.28 | |
| MU | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +18.35% | -0.32% | 747.00 | 910.99 | |
| AMD | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +13.54% | -0.41% | 440.89 | 499.88 | |
| SMCI | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +8.02% | -0.09% | 26.27 | 28.40 | |
| TSM | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +7.88% | -0.03% | 381.99 | 412.77 | |
| AVGO | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +4.50% | -0.13% | 374.22 | 391.00 | |
| QCOM | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -2.75% | -0.28% | 146.00 | 153.87 | |
| peer NVDA | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +2.29% | -0.03% | 192.16 | 197.05 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | ASML | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +6.73% · Δ 30m +0.06% · px 1654.99 (prev 1550.69) → close -0.21% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +2.29% · Δ 30m -0.03% · px 194.36 (prev 190.01) → close +0.21% |
| S4 | ASML | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +6.73% · Δ 30m +0.06% · px 1654.99 (prev 1550.69) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.