Mon Aug-31 20:10:00
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #1370 Thu Jul-30 17:02:40
Japan Earthquake Death Toll Rises to 34 in Kumamoto Prefecture
A magnitude 7.1 earthquake in Kumamoto Prefecture, Japan, has caused semiconductor factories to halt operations, posing a supply chain risk to major chip manufacturers.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary TSM | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +7.11% | +0.47% | 381.99 | 412.77 | |
| MU | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +15.39% | +0.46% | 747.00 | 910.99 | |
| AMD | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +12.33% | -0.18% | 440.89 | 499.88 | |
| SMCI | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +8.21% | -0.02% | 26.27 | 28.40 | |
| ASML | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +6.68% | -0.11% | 1599.38 | 1684.28 | |
| AVGO | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +3.55% | +0.07% | 374.22 | 391.00 | |
| QCOM | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -2.52% | +0.74% | 146.00 | 153.87 | |
| peer NVDA | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +1.61% | -0.25% | 192.16 | 197.05 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +7.11% · Δ 30m +0.47% · px 401.31 (prev 374.67) → close +0.47% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +1.61% · Δ 30m -0.25% · px 193.06 (prev 190.01) → close +0.89% |
| S4 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +7.11% · Δ 30m +0.47% · px 401.31 (prev 374.67) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.