Mon Aug-31 19:06:08
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #1352 Thu Jul-30 16:14:14
Prediction: Apple Will Become a $5 Trillion Company on July 30
An opinion piece predicts Apple will reach a $5 trillion valuation ahead of its July 30 earnings report, citing strong iPhone sales and strategic AI partnerships with Alphabet and Broadcom.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary AAPL | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -1.54% | +0.34% | 308.00 | 336.96 | |
| peer MSFT | · unclear | PRICED | +14.13% | -1.36% | 425.60 | 458.17 | |
| META | · unclear | PRICED | -8.10% | +1.03% | 526.00 | 544.23 | |
| AMZN | · unclear | PRICED | +4.64% | -0.13% | 232.55 | 258.50 | |
| AVGO | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +4.15% | +0.31% | 374.22 | 391.00 | |
| counterparty GOOGL | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -1.32% | -0.12% | 331.43 | 337.96 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -1.54% · Δ 30m +0.34% · px 332.97 (prev 338.19) → close -0.09% |
| S2 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -1.32% · Δ 30m -0.12% · px 332.26 (prev 336.71) → close +0.38% |
| S3 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for MSFT → close +1.36% |
| S4 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -1.54% · Δ 30m +0.34% · px 332.97 (prev 338.19) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.