Mon Aug-31 20:07:23
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #1247 Wed Jul-29 21:22:31
Meta Gives Lackluster Third-Quarter Revenue Forecast
Meta Platforms issued a third-quarter revenue forecast of $61 billion to $64 billion, missing expectations and raising concerns about AI spending sustainability.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary META | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -6.30% | -4.89% | 521.74 | 599.09 | |
| AMD | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -6.39% | -1.79% | 420.63 | 458.46 | |
| NVDA | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -3.66% | -0.97% | 188.89 | 197.56 | |
| AMZN | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -1.79% | -0.42% | 224.70 | 232.52 | |
| peer MSFT | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +1.56% | +1.94% | 389.74 | 425.60 | |
| GOOGL | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +0.22% | -0.52% | 329.81 | 342.09 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | META | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -6.30% · Δ 30m -4.89% · px 556.03 (prev 593.41) → close +4.74% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | inferred short contradicts tape: MSFT +1.56% since prev close → close -2.08% |
| S4 | META | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -6.30% · Δ 30m -4.89% · px 556.03 (prev 593.41) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.