Mon Aug-31 19:04:51
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #1073 Tue Jul-28 19:32:17
Nikkei 225: Tokyo Benchmark Tumbles 3.95% as Chip Stocks Crater on Kospi Contagion
Japanese and South Korean semiconductor stocks crashed due to contagion from Chinese lithography breakthrough concerns, signaling broad sector weakness for global chipmakers and equipment suppliers.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary TSM | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -2.05% | +0.30% | 381.24 | 395.36 | |
| MU | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -9.42% | -0.29% | 774.65 | 848.99 | |
| AMD | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -7.93% | -0.54% | 444.02 | 475.77 | |
| SMCI | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -5.32% | -0.36% | 27.27 | 28.69 | |
| QCOM | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -4.50% | -0.87% | 162.26 | 167.70 | |
| ASML | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -4.49% | +0.27% | 1555.72 | 1598.06 | |
| AVGO | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.99% | 0.00% | 360.53 | 385.19 | |
| peer NVDA | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.16% | -0.14% | 193.21 | 198.53 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.05% · Δ 30m +0.30% · px 390.91 (prev 399.09) → close +0.81% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict FRESH, direction bearish -> short NVDA (other: Japanese and South Korean semiconductor stocks crashed due to contagion from Chinese lithography breakthrough concerns, signaling broad sector weakness for global chipmakers and equipment suppliers.) [skipped: signal conflict — wanted short, netted, outranked by S1 long NVDA mat 85 (new mat 65)] → close +0.44% |
| S4 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.05% · Δ 30m +0.30% · px 390.91 (prev 399.09) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.