Mon Aug-31 19:07:34
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #1031 Tue Jul-28 16:42:05
Stock market today: Nasdaq pares losses as chip stocks sell off, S&P 500 and Dow rise
Nvidia shares and the broader semiconductor sector declined amid concerns over circular AI financing and rising Chinese competition, while the wider market showed mixed performance ahead of Federal Reserve decisions.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary NVDA | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.45% | +0.42% | 193.21 | 198.53 | |
| MU | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -8.88% | +0.55% | 774.65 | 848.99 | |
| peer AMD | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -7.21% | +1.64% | 444.02 | 475.77 | |
| SMCI | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -4.21% | +2.53% | 27.27 | 28.69 | |
| MSFT | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +2.52% | +0.41% | 391.72 | 399.95 | |
| GOOGL | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +2.07% | +1.18% | 325.28 | 335.89 | |
| TSM | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -1.95% | +1.30% | 381.24 | 395.36 | |
| QCOM | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -1.61% | +0.45% | 162.26 | 167.70 | |
| AAPL | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.76% | +0.12% | 335.94 | 341.25 | |
| AMZN | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -0.32% | +0.65% | 228.16 | 234.02 | |
| META | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -0.09% | +0.77% | 587.04 | 600.38 | |
| AVGO | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +0.07% | +1.26% | 360.53 | 385.19 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict FRESH, direction bearish -> short NVDA (other: Nvidia shares and the broader semiconductor sector declined amid concerns over circular AI financing and rising Chinese competition, while the wider market showed mixed performance ahead of Federal Reserve decisions.) [skipped: duplicate theme — already holding S1 short NVDA exiting 2026-07-28] → close +0.15% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | AMD | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -7.21% · Δ 30m +1.64% · px 459.25 (prev 494.95) → close -0.72% |
| S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: short NVDA at close, exit next close (other: Nvidia shares and the broader semiconductor sector declined amid concerns over circular AI financing and rising Chinese competition, while the wider market showed mixed performance ahead of Federal Reserve decisions.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 65 short lost to mat 90 long (decision 4368) for S4 NVDA exiting 2026-07-29] |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.