Mon Aug-31 19:02:32
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #1012 Tue Jul-28 15:40:49
State-backed Chinese company developing DUV lithography tools for domestic chip companies - report
A state-backed Chinese company is developing domestic DUV lithography tools to reduce reliance on foreign suppliers, posing a potential long-term competitive threat to ASML's market dominance.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary ASML | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -5.12% | +0.19% | 1555.72 | 1598.06 | |
| MU | · unclear | PRICED | -10.13% | -0.04% | 774.65 | 848.99 | |
| AMD | · unclear | PRICED | -9.04% | -0.52% | 444.02 | 475.77 | |
| peer TSM | · unclear | PRICED | -4.12% | -0.66% | 381.24 | 395.36 | |
| QCOM | · unclear | PRICED | -2.25% | +0.46% | 162.26 | 167.70 | |
| AVGO | · unclear | PRICED | -1.87% | +0.01% | 360.53 | 385.19 | |
| NVDA | · unclear | REPRICING | -0.46% | +0.64% | 193.21 | 198.53 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | ASML | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -5.12% · Δ 30m +0.19% · px 1570.44 (prev 1655.26) → close +1.14% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | TSM | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for TSM → close +2.98% |
| S4 | ASML | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -5.12% · Δ 30m +0.19% · px 1570.44 (prev 1655.26) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.