🚨 Alert #1011 Tue Jul-28 15:40:44
Meta has partnered with BlackRock to co-develop a $14 billion AI data center campus in El Paso, Texas, with BlackRock investing $4.9 billion for an 80% stake.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | META | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict REPRICING, direction bullish -> long META (partnership: Meta has partnered with BlackRock to co-develop a $14 billion AI data center campus in El Paso, Texas, with BlackRock investing $4.9 billion for an 80% stake.) [closed early: netted out by outranking S1 short META decision 4061] |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | - | ○ skip | — | no peer in universe |
| S4 | META | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: long META at close, exit next close (partnership: Meta has partnered with BlackRock to co-develop a $14 billion AI data center campus in El Paso, Texas, with BlackRock investing $4.9 billion for an 80% stake.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 65 long lost to mat 85 short (decision 4064) for S4 META exiting 2026-07-29] |
📈 Trades
| strategy | ticker | side | qty | entry | exit | P&L $ | status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | META | ▲ long | 1 | 591.33 | 592.12 | +0.79 | closed |
Retrospectives
| ticker | mfe | mae | reflection |
|---|---|---|---|
| META S1 | +0.31% | +0.11% | Signal: Directionally right in the narrow sense — price never traded below entry (worst unrealized was still +0.11%) — but the trade was force-closed early by netting against an opposing short signal, so the data here can't tell us whether the $14B partnership repricing thesis actually played out. Timing: Entry came after a modest -0.61% drift down, so the trade wasn't chasing an already-completed move; timing looks fine on the evidence available. Exit: The +0.79 (+0.13%) capture is under half the +0.31% peak, but the dominant factor is that the exit was mechanical (outranked by a conflicting S1 short on the same name), not a judgment about the position — the P&L reflects a truncated holding period, not the signal's quality. The internal signal conflict on META is the headline fact for the retrospective. |
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.