Mon Aug-31 20:00:36
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #975 Tue Jul-28 14:01:02
Microsoft and Amazon earnings outlook: capex story above all else By Investing.com
Investors are focusing on AI capital expenditure guidance rather than earnings beats for Microsoft and Amazon, following a negative market reaction to Alphabet's high spending and negative free cash flow.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary MSFT | · unclear | PRICED | +3.58% | -0.06% | 391.72 | 399.95 | |
| NVDA | · unclear | PRICED | -5.48% | -0.18% | 193.21 | 198.53 | |
| counterparty GOOGL | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +2.47% | -0.18% | 325.28 | 335.89 | |
| AAPL | · unclear | PRICED | +1.65% | -0.15% | 335.94 | 341.25 | |
| peer META | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.87% | +0.23% | 587.04 | 600.38 | |
| AMZN | · unclear | FRESH | +0.48% | -0.25% | 228.16 | 234.02 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for MSFT → close -0.59% |
| S2 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +2.47% · Δ 30m -0.18% · px 327.65 (prev 319.74) → close +1.81% |
| S3 | META | ○ skip | — | verdict FRESH, direction bearish -> short META (earnings: Investors are focusing on AI capital expenditure guidance rather than earnings beats for Microsoft and Amazon, following a negative market reaction to Alphabet's high spending and negative free cash flow.) [skipped: duplicate theme — already queued S1 short META exiting 2026-07-28] → close -1.15% |
| S4 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for MSFT |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.