Mon Aug-31 19:05:57
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #958 Tue Jul-28 13:23:17
NVIDIA's rising CDS the talk of Wall Street amid circular financing fears By Investing.com
Nvidia's credit default swaps surged to record levels and its stock fell sharply amid reports of massive, risky financing guarantees for AI infrastructure deals with OpenAI.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary NVDA | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -5.41% | +0.38% | 193.21 | 198.53 | |
| AMD | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -9.42% | +0.18% | 444.02 | 475.77 | |
| SMCI | · unclear | PRICED | -5.35% | -0.12% | 27.27 | 28.69 | |
| TSM | · unclear | PRICED | -4.66% | +0.34% | 381.24 | 395.36 | |
| MSFT | · unclear | PRICED | +3.45% | +0.11% | 391.72 | 399.95 | |
| GOOGL | · unclear | PRICED | +2.30% | -0.16% | 325.28 | 335.89 | |
| AVGO | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -1.80% | -0.04% | 360.53 | 385.19 | |
| peer AAPL | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +1.73% | +0.07% | 335.94 | 341.25 | |
| AMZN | · unclear | FRESH | +0.58% | +0.11% | 228.16 | 234.02 | |
| META | · unclear | FRESH | +0.44% | +0.12% | 587.04 | 600.38 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -5.41% · Δ 30m +0.38% · px 195.66 (prev 206.84) → close +1.04% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +1.73% · Δ 30m +0.07% · px 338.78 (prev 333.02) → close +0.32% |
| S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -5.41% · Δ 30m +0.38% · px 195.66 (prev 206.84) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.