Mon Aug-31 19:03:56
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #920 Mon Jul-27 19:41:44
Energy Stocks, AI Spending, and Earnings Separate Winners From Losers
Google reported strong Q2 earnings with significant beats and raised its AI infrastructure spending guidance to $195-205 billion, signaling continued robust demand for data center infrastructure.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary GOOGL | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +1.92% | -0.10% | 323.56 | 329.75 | |
| AMD | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -7.67% | -0.13% | 478.36 | 538.04 | |
| ASML | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -6.96% | -0.24% | 1617.08 | 1809.26 | |
| NVDA | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -5.17% | -0.20% | 195.52 | 208.69 | |
| SMCI | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -4.34% | -1.00% | 28.67 | 31.08 | |
| peer MSFT | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +2.93% | -0.27% | 386.36 | 393.98 | |
| TSM | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -2.87% | -0.05% | 389.53 | 410.60 | |
| AVGO | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.78% | -0.36% | 375.12 | 391.58 | |
| META | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.14% | -0.10% | 593.26 | 608.50 | |
| AMZN | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.10% | -0.13% | 222.19 | 235.89 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +1.92% · Δ 30m -0.10% · px 325.87 (prev 319.74) → close +0.30% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +2.93% · Δ 30m -0.27% · px 392.90 (prev 381.70) → close -0.99% |
| S4 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +1.92% · Δ 30m -0.10% · px 325.87 (prev 319.74) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.