Mon Aug-31 19:02:45
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #901 Mon Jul-27 18:20:42
European shares steady as tech weakness offsets US-Iran optimism
ASML shares dropped 8.4% following reports that China has begun mass-producing domestic immersion DUV lithography machines, threatening ASML's market monopoly.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary ASML | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -7.30% | -0.79% | 1617.08 | 1809.26 | |
| AMD | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -8.18% | -1.43% | 478.36 | 538.04 | |
| MU | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -5.93% | -0.83% | 858.59 | 947.60 | |
| peer NVDA | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -5.45% | -0.87% | 195.52 | 208.69 | |
| SMCI | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -4.10% | -0.91% | 28.67 | 31.08 | |
| TSM | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -2.93% | -0.80% | 389.53 | 410.60 | |
| AVGO | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -0.81% | -0.88% | 375.12 | 391.58 | |
| QCOM | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.34% | -0.49% | 165.74 | 170.94 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | ASML | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -7.30% · Δ 30m -0.79% · px 1628.82 (prev 1757.09) → close +1.47% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -5.45% · Δ 30m -0.87% · px 195.56 (prev 206.84) → close +0.70% |
| S4 | ASML | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -7.30% · Δ 30m -0.79% · px 1628.82 (prev 1757.09) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.