Mon Aug-31 19:04:17
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #887 Mon Jul-27 17:42:04
China accuses US of AI hegemonism, threatens countermeasures over Moonshot AI probe
China's Ministry of Commerce threatened countermeasures against the US in response to potential Entity List restrictions on AI startup Moonshot AI, escalating geopolitical tensions in the semiconductor and AI sectors.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMD | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -6.65% | +0.39% | 478.36 | 538.04 | |
| ASML | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -6.17% | +0.91% | 1617.08 | 1809.26 | |
| peer NVDA | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -4.53% | -0.39% | 195.52 | 208.69 | |
| MSFT | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +2.64% | +0.27% | 386.36 | 393.98 | |
| GOOGL | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +2.48% | -0.32% | 323.56 | 329.75 | |
| TSM | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -1.81% | +0.04% | 389.53 | 410.60 | |
| QCOM | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +1.10% | +0.93% | 165.74 | 170.94 | |
| META | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.64% | +0.04% | 593.26 | 608.50 | |
| AVGO | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.34% | +0.26% | 375.12 | 391.58 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | - | ○ skip | — | no primary ticker in universe |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -4.53% · Δ 30m -0.39% · px 197.48 (prev 206.84) → close -0.28% |
| S4 | - | ○ skip | — | no primary ticker in universe |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.