Mon Aug-31 20:01:00
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #871 Mon Jul-27 17:00:26
SanDisk's $42 Billion Backlog Is Real -- So Is the Valuation Question Now Hitting Every Memory Stock
Reports of a $42 billion backlog at SanDisk and potential TSMC price hikes highlight a supply shortage in AI memory and manufacturing, signaling strong demand for the sector.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary MU | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -4.56% | +1.22% | 858.59 | 947.60 | |
| AMD | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -7.27% | +0.82% | 478.36 | 538.04 | |
| peer NVDA | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -4.39% | +0.46% | 195.52 | 208.69 | |
| SMCI | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -3.92% | +0.14% | 28.67 | 31.08 | |
| TSM | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -2.23% | +1.04% | 389.53 | 410.60 | |
| AVGO | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.17% | +0.45% | 375.12 | 391.58 | |
| QCOM | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.12% | +0.38% | 165.74 | 170.94 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | MU | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -4.56% · Δ 30m +1.22% · px 878.94 (prev 920.95) → close +1.25% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -4.39% · Δ 30m +0.46% · px 197.76 (prev 206.84) → close -0.42% |
| S4 | MU | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -4.56% · Δ 30m +1.22% · px 878.94 (prev 920.95) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.