Mon Aug-31 19:02:46
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #694 Fri Jul-24 14:23:19
Microsoft Earnings Are Coming -- But Azure and CapEx Will Decide the Reaction
Microsoft is scheduled to report fiscal fourth-quarter 2026 earnings on July 29, with investor focus centered on FY2027 capital expenditure guidance rather than expected earnings beats.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary MSFT | · unclear | PRICED | -1.30% | -0.19% | 380.94 | 387.73 | |
| peer GOOGL | · unclear | PRICED | -6.93% | -0.03% | 317.91 | 322.58 | |
| AMZN | · unclear | PRICED | -4.40% | -0.05% | 231.48 | 234.89 | |
| META | · unclear | PRICED | -3.82% | -0.03% | 594.15 | 609.65 | |
| NVDA | · unclear | PRICED | -1.89% | -0.04% | 205.04 | 211.59 | |
| AMD | · unclear | REPRICING | -0.69% | +0.56% | 519.05 | 548.99 |
🧭 Decisions
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.