Mon Aug-31 19:02:33
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #536 Wed Jul-22 20:40:30
Microsoft vs. Amazon: 1 AI Giant Is the Better Buy Ahead of Earnings
An analysis compares Microsoft and Amazon ahead of their upcoming earnings reports, highlighting Microsoft's strong AI revenue growth and Azure momentum as a key investment opportunity.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary MSFT | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -2.37% | -0.25% | 386.37 | 399.90 | |
| META | · unclear | PRICED | -2.88% | -0.32% | 617.94 | 646.85 | |
| NVDA | · unclear | PRICED | +2.53% | -0.53% | 204.56 | 214.40 | |
| AMZN | · unclear | PRICED | -1.14% | +0.08% | 240.00 | 248.50 | |
| AAPL | · unclear | PRICED | -1.03% | -0.02% | 323.58 | 327.90 | |
| peer GOOGL | · unclear | FRESH | -0.65% | -0.34% | 325.51 | 349.70 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.37% · Δ 30m -0.25% · px 388.33 (prev 397.75) → close +0.38% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for GOOGL → close -0.54% |
| S4 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.37% · Δ 30m -0.25% · px 388.33 (prev 397.75) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.