Sun Oct-18 15:16:15
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #4564 Mon Sep-14 15:10:13
Tungsten Export Bans From Zimbabwe to Washington Are Squeezing Chipmakers - Startup Fortune
Export bans on tungsten from Zimbabwe, the UK, and the US are creating a supply squeeze and tripling prices for tungsten hexafluoride gas essential to TSMC's advanced chip manufacturing.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary TSM | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -2.60% | +0.73% | 416.10 | 424.45 | |
| MU | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -5.96% | +1.29% | 904.94 | 931.94 | |
| SMCI | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -5.77% | +1.74% | 36.74 | 38.16 | |
| ASML | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -5.42% | +1.37% | 1575.07 | 1614.82 | |
| AMD | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -5.36% | +0.87% | 483.56 | 498.32 | |
| AVGO | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -3.81% | +0.31% | 344.15 | 351.15 | |
| peer NVDA | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -3.16% | +1.03% | 209.25 | 213.36 | |
| QCOM | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -2.10% | +0.99% | 170.60 | 181.64 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.60% · Δ 30m +0.73% · px 421.92 (prev 433.19) → close -0.51% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -3.16% · Δ 30m +1.03% · px 211.40 (prev 218.29) → close -0.09% |
| S4 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.60% · Δ 30m +0.73% · px 421.92 (prev 433.19) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 70.