Mon Aug-31 19:02:06
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #448 Wed Jul-22 15:01:33
What's behind Apple's explosive suit against OpenAI?
Apple has filed a federal lawsuit against OpenAI alleging the poaching of over 400 employees and the theft of trade secrets related to unreleased hardware technologies.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary AAPL | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -0.54% | -0.57% | 323.58 | 327.90 | |
| META | · unclear | REPRICING | -1.72% | -2.18% | 617.94 | 646.85 | |
| peer MSFT | · unclear | REPRICING | -1.55% | -1.99% | 386.37 | 399.90 | |
| AMZN | · unclear | REPRICING | -0.80% | -1.06% | 240.00 | 248.50 | |
| GOOGL | · unclear | FRESH | +0.32% | -0.09% | 325.51 | 349.70 | |
| NVDA | · unclear | REPRICING | +0.17% | +0.75% | 204.56 | 214.40 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | verdict REPRICING, direction bearish -> sell AAPL (regulatory: Apple has filed a federal lawsuit against OpenAI alleging the poaching of over 400 employees and the theft of trade secrets related to unreleased hardware technologies.) [skipped: duplicate — already holding S1 sell AAPL exiting 2026-07-22] → close +0.20% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for MSFT → close -0.46% |
| S4 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell AAPL at close, exit next close (regulatory: Apple has filed a federal lawsuit against OpenAI alleging the poaching of over 400 employees and the theft of trade secrets related to unreleased hardware technologies.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 sell AAPL exiting 2026-07-23] |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.