Sun Oct-18 16:01:21
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #4382 Thu Sep-10 13:50:32
SMIC narrows gap with Samsung as global foundry revenue hits record...
TSMC reported record Q2 2026 revenue of $40.2 billion with a 72.5% market share, driven by strong AI server demand and the initial contribution of its 2nm process node.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary TSM | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -1.73% | -0.53% | 424.38 | 433.55 | |
| MU | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -2.65% | -0.66% | 971.40 | 1014.29 | |
| AMD | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -2.24% | -0.32% | 502.01 | 516.01 | |
| ASML | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -2.19% | -0.48% | 1680.73 | 1715.00 | |
| QCOM | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -2.10% | -0.55% | 171.70 | 181.93 | |
| AVGO | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -1.59% | -0.45% | 357.86 | 372.17 | |
| peer NVDA | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -1.27% | -0.51% | 217.41 | 223.17 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | TSM | ○ skip | — | primary long contradicts tape: TSM -1.73% since prev close → close +0.25% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | inferred long contradicts tape: NVDA -1.27% since prev close → close -1.01% |
| S4 | TSM | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: long TSM at close, exit next close (earnings: TSMC reported record Q2 2026 revenue of $40.2 billion with a 72.5% market share, driven by strong AI server demand and the initial contribution of its 2nm process node.) [skipped at close: s4_alignment — wanted long, TSM -1.49% vs prev close 435.55999755859375 (mark 429.0799865722656), order not placed] |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 70.