Sun Oct-18 15:16:29
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #4290 Wed Sep-09 15:50:49
Can ASML's Tie-Up With TSM to Advance High NA EUV Drive Growth?
ASML and TSMC are collaborating to establish a 12-inch photomask pilot line by 2031 to support High-NA EUV technology adoption.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary ASML | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -1.20% | +0.25% | 1715.82 | 1748.70 | |
| MU | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +3.67% | +0.11% | 993.89 | 1040.09 | |
| AMD | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +3.16% | +0.41% | 498.77 | 525.48 | |
| AVGO | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -1.58% | +0.17% | 359.66 | 366.48 | |
| QCOM | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | +1.43% | -0.66% | 173.30 | 180.29 | |
| TSM | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.66% | -0.04% | 432.00 | 438.98 | |
| peer NVDA | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.53% | +0.35% | 223.47 | 225.87 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | ASML | ○ skip | — | primary long contradicts tape: ASML -1.20% since prev close → close -1.03% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | inferred long: materiality 65 below floor 75 → close -0.39% |
| S4 | ASML | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: long ASML at close, exit next close (partnership: ASML and TSMC are collaborating to establish a 12-inch photomask pilot line by 2031 to support High-NA EUV technology adoption.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 65 long lost to mat 75 long (decision 17216) for S4 ASML exiting 2026-09-10] |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 70.