verdict REPRICING, direction bullish -> long META (product: Meta Platforms has introduced Muse, described as the world's first personal AI agent built for general consumer use.) [skipped: duplicate theme — already holding S2 long META exiting 2026-09-08] → close -0.74%
overnight drift: long META at close, exit next close (product: Meta Platforms has introduced Muse, described as the world's first personal AI agent built for general consumer use.)
Signal: Right — the long call worked, with META rising ~6.1% from entry to the mechanical next-close exit. Timing: The move had not already happened; the pre-entry drift was modest (+0.58% from prev close), and the fill at 615.47 was actually slightly below the prior close, so entry was not chasing. Exit: The exit captured nearly everything available — +6.10% realized versus +6.81% best unrealized (and it rode through a -3.13% drawdown) — so the dominant factor is simply a correct directional signal, with the fixed next-close exit happening to land near the peak. Whether the "Muse" catalyst actually drove the move can't be settled from this data.
📖 Glossary
S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 70.
