Sun Oct-18 15:11:11
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #4199 Tue Sep-08 15:30:26
Chinese memory makers have reportedly stocked up on enough western DUV machines for the next three years of expansion
Chinese memory manufacturers CXMT and YMTC have reportedly stockpiled sufficient ASML DUV lithography machines to support three years of expansion despite export restrictions.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | ASML | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +2.26% · Δ 30m -0.06% · px 1753.60 (prev 1714.88) → close +0.55% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | TSM | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for TSM → close +1.04% |
| S4 | ASML | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +2.26% · Δ 30m -0.06% · px 1753.60 (prev 1714.88) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 70.