Mon Aug-31 19:01:51
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #412 Tue Jul-21 21:10:30
Why Micron and other chip stocks are bouncing back so strongly
Micron and other semiconductor stocks rallied as investors reassessed Chinese AI developments as a catalyst rather than a threat, reversing recent sector weakness.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary MU | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +12.48% | +0.50% | 914.00 | 987.52 | |
| SMCI | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +18.17% | +11.41% | 24.39 | 30.75 | |
| AMD | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +8.17% | +0.54% | 522.30 | 546.54 | |
| TSM | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +5.59% | +0.29% | 414.22 | 426.19 | |
| AVGO | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +1.90% | -0.23% | 380.86 | 390.09 | |
| peer NVDA | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +1.72% | -0.14% | 204.23 | 207.50 | |
| QCOM | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +1.69% | +0.40% | 170.47 | 175.68 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | MU | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +12.48% · Δ 30m +0.50% · px 973.47 (prev 865.46) → close -0.04% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +1.72% · Δ 30m -0.14% · px 206.77 (prev 203.28) → close +0.33% |
| S4 | MU | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +12.48% · Δ 30m +0.50% · px 973.47 (prev 865.46) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.