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🚨 Alert #410 Tue Jul-21 20:32:15
What TSMC's capex surge could mean (TSM:NYSE) | Seeking Alpha
TSMC has raised its capital spending plans to support AI-driven capacity expansion, signaling increased demand for semiconductor equipment from suppliers like ASML.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary TSM | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +5.38% | -0.23% | 414.22 | 426.19 | |
| MU | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +11.41% | -1.06% | 914.00 | 987.52 | |
| AMD | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +7.36% | -0.65% | 522.30 | 546.54 | |
| counterparty ASML | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +3.64% | -0.25% | 1787.97 | 1822.19 | |
| AVGO | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +2.02% | -0.22% | 380.86 | 390.09 | |
| peer NVDA | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +1.81% | -0.11% | 204.23 | 207.50 | |
| QCOM | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | +1.16% | -0.52% | 170.47 | 175.68 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +5.38% · Δ 30m -0.23% · px 423.95 (prev 402.30) → close +0.19% |
| S2 | ASML | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +3.64% · Δ 30m -0.25% · px 1802.29 (prev 1739.02) → close +0.13% |
| S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +1.81% · Δ 30m -0.11% · px 206.95 (prev 203.28) → close +0.24% |
| S4 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +5.38% · Δ 30m -0.23% · px 423.95 (prev 402.30) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.